Match Info

MLB

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	Braves Vision, ESPN USA, NBC Sports California, SportsNet Pittsburgh
World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	2.4	1.54	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.42	1.56
	2.5	1.61
			Watch
	2.45	1.59
	2.48	1.62	Watch
	2.39	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.37)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
39.5%

Philadelphia Phillies
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
12. Lindor F.	12. Schwarber K.
22. Soto J.	7. Turner T.
19. Bichette B.	3. Harper B.
27. Vientos M.	4. Arraez L.
3. Benge C.	28. Bohm A.
10. Semien M.	5. Stott B.
4. Alvarez F.	16. Marsh B.
55. Morabito N.	10. Realmuto J.T.
13. Torrens L.	2. Crawford J.
Pitchers
21. Tong J.	61. Sanchez C.
Coaches
. Green A.	. Mattingly D.

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, NY Mets has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Philadelphia has had a run of games away from home.

Philadelphia is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, NY Mets has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 85:93 (averaging 4.3:4.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for NY Mets against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 52:26 goals (averaging 5.8:2.9 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Mets - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
19.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	10:3 ✺
18.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	6:3 ✺
17.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	1:7 ✺
15.09.26	New York Mets - Baltimore Orioles	5:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB
19.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	10:3 ✺
18.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	6:3 ✺
17.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
16.09.26	Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3 ✺
15.09.26	Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
19.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	10:3
18.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	6:3
17.09.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3
19.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	1:6
18.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	6:1
16.07.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets	1:4
28.06.26	New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies	4:5

New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide