Match Info

MLB

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Citi Field (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	MLB.TV


	New York Mets		Pittsburgh Pirates

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.42
	1.61	2.52
			Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.63	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Mets
60.8%

Pittsburgh Pirates
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Mets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. NY Mets will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Mets: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
12. Lindor F.	19. Triolo J.
22. Soto J.	29. O'Hearn R.
19. Bichette B.	10. Reynolds B.
11. Polanco J.	24. Ozuna M.
88. Robert L.	3. Gonzales N.
7. Baty B.	5. Lowe B.
10. Semien M.	38. Yorke N.
3. Benge C.	14. Bart J.
4. Alvarez F.	28. Mangum J.
Pitchers
23. Peterson D.	23. Keller M.
Coaches
. Mendoza C.	. Kelly D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 1.

NY Mets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pittsburgh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pittsburgh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

NY Mets will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Mets won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 83:105. (average 4.2:5.3).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Mets won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 54:32. (average 5.4:3.2).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Mets - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.65%, but this team recently wins 51% of matches with these odds.

Pittsburgh Pirates - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Mets
MLB
26.03.26	New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates	11:7 ✺
MLB Spring Training
22.03.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	4:3 ✺
20.03.26	New York Mets - St. Louis Cardinals	3:4 ✺
19.03.26	Houston Astros - New York Mets	2:6 ✺
17.03.26	Miami Marlins - New York Mets	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWT
- Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB
26.03.26	New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates	11:7 ✺
MLB Spring Training
23.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Atlanta Braves	2:5 ✺
22.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Boston Red Sox	3:6 ✺
21.03.26	Pittsburgh Pirates - Toronto Blue Jays	8:3 ✺
20.03.26	Atlanta Braves - Pittsburgh Pirates	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
26.03.26	New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates	11:7
29.06.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Mets	12:1
28.06.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Mets	9:2
27.06.25	Pittsburgh Pirates - New York Mets	9:1
14.05.25	New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates	0:4
13.05.25	New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates	2:1
12.05.25	New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates	4:3

New York Mets - Pittsburgh Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide