Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: BayCare Ballpark (Clearwater, FL)


	Philadelphia Phillies		Minnesota Twins

	1	2
	1.53	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.48
	1.54	2.56
			Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.57	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	2.54 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
62.4%

Minnesota Twins
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Minnesota Twins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Twins than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Philadelphia Phillies - Minnesota Twins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
7. Turner T.	23. Lewis R.
10. Realmuto J.T.	19. Bell J.
53. Garcia A.	37. Caratini V.
28. Bohm A.	13. Wagaman E.
5. Stott B.	2. Lee B.
16. Marsh B.	11. Arcia O.
33. Sosa E.	43. Outman J.
80. Crawford J.	5. Kreidler R.
25. Moore D.	80. Fedko K.
Pitchers
44. Luzardo J.	17. Ober B.
Coaches
. Thomson R.	. Shelton D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Philadelphia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 79:73. (average 4:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 53:46. (average 4.1:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.53%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Minnesota Twins - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Spring Training
16.03.26	Detroit Tigers - Philadelphia Phillies	13:6 ✺
15.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	4:6 ✺
13.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	11:8 ✺
12.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	8:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW
- Minnesota Twins
MLB Spring Training
16.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Pittsburgh Pirates	5:1 ✺
15.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Minnesota Twins	7:2 ✺
14.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Tampa Bay Rays	6:9 ✺
13.03.26	Toronto Blue Jays - Minnesota Twins	6:1 ✺
12.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Boston Red Sox	8:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
08.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Philadelphia Phillies	7:6
MLB
28.09.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Minnesota Twins	2:1
27.09.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Minnesota Twins	0:5
26.09.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Minnesota Twins	3:1
MLB Spring Training
10.03.25	Minnesota Twins - Philadelphia Phillies	1:4
MLB
24.07.24	Minnesota Twins - Philadelphia Phillies	5:4
23.07.24	Minnesota Twins - Philadelphia Phillies	0:3

Philadelphia Phillies - Minnesota Twins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide