Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: George M. Steinbrenner (Tampa, FL)


	New York Yankees		Philadelphia Phillies

	1	2
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.82	2
	1.76	2.09
			Watch
	1.87	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Yankees
52.7%

Philadelphia Phillies
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Yankees has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Yankees than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

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Lineups

Batters
12. Grisham T.	12. Schwarber K.
99. Judge A.	10. Realmuto J.T.
35. Bellinger C.	3. Harper B.
22. Rice B.	28. Bohm A.
27. Stanton G.	53. Garcia A.
13. Chisholm J.	33. Sosa E.
72. Caballero J.	80. Crawford J.
19. McMahon R.	41. De La Cruz B.
25. Escarra J. C.	25. Moore D.
Pitchers
98. Warren W.	27. Nola A.
Coaches
. Boone A.	. Thomson R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

NY Yankees may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Yankees won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 125:100. (average 6.3:5).

Including home matches between the teams, NY Yankees won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 62:67. (average 5.2:5.6).

Last Results with these Odds

New York Yankees - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 52.15%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.85%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Yankees
MLB Spring Training
21.03.26	Detroit Tigers - New York Yankees	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	New York Yankees - Baltimore Orioles	3:1 ✺
18.03.26	New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Tampa Bay Rays - New York Yankees	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL
- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Spring Training
21.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	10:8 ✺
20.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Detroit Tigers	4:4 ✺
19.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Tampa Bay Rays	8:2 ✺
18.03.26	Atlanta Braves - Philadelphia Phillies	3:2 ✺
17.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Minnesota Twins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLB Spring Training
14.03.26	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	4:6
10.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees	2:4
01.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees	3:5
MLB
27.07.25	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	4:3
26.07.25	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	4:9
25.07.25	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	5:12
MLB Spring Training
22.03.25	New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies	7:8

New York Yankees - Philadelphia Phillies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide