Match Info

MLB - Spring Training

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: BayCare Ballpark (Clearwater, FL)


	Philadelphia Phillies		Baltimore Orioles

	1	2
	1.8	2.05	Watch
	1.82	2
	1.84	2.02
			Watch
	1.8	2
	1.87	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	2.02 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Philadelphia Phillies
52.5%

Baltimore Orioles
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Baltimore Orioles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltimore Orioles than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Philadelphia Phillies will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:3

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Lineups

Batters
7. Turner T.	13. Kjerstad H.
5. Stott B.	20. Alonso P.
28. Bohm A.	29. Basallo S.
53. Garcia A.	67. Ramos B.
4. Kemp O.	4. Taveras L.
14. De La Cruz B.	7. Holliday J.
21. Stubbs G.	39. Estrada T.
23. Rojas J.	96. Barrero J.
. Leon P.	72. Bradfield Jr. E.
Pitchers
76. Painter A.	37. Povich C.
Coaches
. Thomson R.	. Albernaz C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.

Philadelphia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baltimore has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Baltimore may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 96:93. (average 4.8:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 71:46. (average 5.5:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Philadelphia Phillies - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.23%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Spring Training
12.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	8:5 ✺
10.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - New York Yankees	2:4 ✺
09.03.26	Boston Red Sox - Philadelphia Phillies	5:3 ✺
08.03.26	Minnesota Twins - Philadelphia Phillies	7:6 ✺
07.03.26	Philadelphia Phillies - Toronto Blue Jays	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- Baltimore Orioles
MLB Spring Training
11.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Pittsburgh Pirates	7:2 ✺
10.03.26	Houston Astros - Baltimore Orioles	7:6 ✺
06.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - St. Louis Cardinals	2:10 ✺
05.03.26	Tampa Bay Rays - Baltimore Orioles	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Baltimore Orioles - Houston Astros	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLB
06.08.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	1:5
05.08.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	5:0
04.08.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	13:3
MLB Spring Training
23.02.25	Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles	3:7
MLB
16.06.24	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	8:3
15.06.24	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	6:2
14.06.24	Baltimore Orioles - Philadelphia Phillies	3:5

Philadelphia Phillies - Baltimore Orioles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide