The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Diego Padres 50.5%
Detroit Tigers 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego Padres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Detroit Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Tigers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
70%
0%
30%
San Diego Padres - Detroit Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Detroit will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5
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Lineups
Batters
9. Cronenworth J.
30. Carpenter K.
23. Tatis F. Jr.
25. Torres G.
13. Machado M.
33. Keith C.
3. Merrill J.
31. Greene R.
2. Bogaerts X.
20. Torkelson S.
30. Sheets G.
7. McGonigle K.
5. Laureano R.
8. Vierling M.
21. Castellanos N.
39. McKinstry Z.
54. Fermin F.
34. Rogers J.
Pitchers
98. Vasquez R.
9. Flaherty J.
Coaches
. Stammen C.
. Hinch A. J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1.
San Diego is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Detroit is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.
Recently, Detroit has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 81:81. (average 4.1:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:39. (average 3.8:3.5).