Match Info

MLB

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Petco Park (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	MLB.TV


	San Diego Padres		Seattle Mariners

	1	2
	2	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.83
	2.05	1.88
			Watch
	2	1.8
	2.04	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.97)	1.85 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Padres
47.8%

Seattle Mariners
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Padres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Seattle Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Padres than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Mariners than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Seattle will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Diego: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:5

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Lineups

Batters
5. Laureano R.	33. Donovan B.
23. Tatis F. Jr.	29. Raleigh C.
3. Merrill J.	44. Rodriguez J.
13. Machado M.	12. Naylor J.
2. Bogaerts X.	56. Arozarena R.
30. Sheets G.	20. Raley L.
41. Andujar M.	3. Crawford J.
12. Campusano L.	8. Canzone D.
9. Cronenworth J.	2. Young C.
Pitchers
10. Buehler W.	58. Castillo L.
Coaches
. Stammen C.	. Wilson D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 5.

San Diego is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Seattle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Diego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 109:94. (average 5.5:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 53:54. (average 4.1:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Mariners - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 37% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Padres
MLB
15.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	7:6 ✺
14.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	San Diego Padres - Colorado Rockies	7:2 ✺
11.04.26	San Diego Padres - Colorado Rockies	9:5 ✺
10.04.26	San Diego Padres - Colorado Rockies	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Seattle Mariners
MLB
15.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	7:6 ✺
14.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	4:1 ✺
13.04.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	6:2 ✺
12.04.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	6:1 ✺
11.04.26	Seattle Mariners - Houston Astros	8:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLB
15.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	7:6
14.04.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	4:1
MLB Spring Training
23.03.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	10:3
05.03.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	6:27
28.02.26	San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners	7:1
20.02.26	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	7:4
MLB
27.08.25	Seattle Mariners - San Diego Padres	4:3

San Diego Padres - Seattle Mariners: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide