Match Info

NBL - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Adelaide Entertainment Centre (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	Adelaide 36ers		Sydney Kings

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.42
	2.82	1.44
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.5	1.47
	2.56	1.54	Watch
	2.39	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.39)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 191.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide 36ers
36.8%

Sydney Kings
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide 36ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sydney Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide 36ers than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Kings than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:99

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cameron F.	10. Cooks X. (C)
45. Cheatham Z.	1. Davis K.
11. Cotton B. (C)	8. Dellavedova M.
8. Humphries I.	6. Galloway J.
34. Vasiljevic D.	11. Soares T.
Substitutes
17. Harris M.	21. Awan L.
12. Jenkins J.	7. Bruce S.
0. Kenyon M.	2. Craig T.
31. Rakocevic N.	5. Goodrick H.
22. Rasmussen K.	15. Maluach M.
2. White I.	20. Malual G.
	12. Noi K.
	14. Spurgin J.
Coaches
. Wells M.	. Goorjian B.

Preview

Sydney Kings leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.

Adelaide has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sydney is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sydney might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1836:1881. (average 91.8:94.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 810:804. (average 90:89.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Sydney	7	5	2	714:617	0.714
5	Adelaide	8	4	4	710:726	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide 36ers
Australian NBL
28.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	106:93 ✺
27.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	91:89 ✺
21.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	112:68 ✺
17.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	108:96 ✺
14.03.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Adelaide 36ers	101:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWL
- Sydney Kings
Australian NBL
28.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	106:93 ✺
27.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	91:89 ✺
21.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	112:68 ✺
14.03.26	Perth Wildcats - Sydney Kings	75:89 ✺
11.03.26	Sydney Kings - Perth Wildcats	105:104 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
28.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	106:93
27.03.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	91:89
21.03.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	112:68
24.01.26	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	106:101
02.01.26	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	85:79
17.12.25	Sydney Kings - Adelaide 36ers	97:93 OT
11.10.25	Adelaide 36ers - Sydney Kings	79:103

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