Match Info

AUSTRALIA: WNBL WOMEN

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Adelaide 36ers Arena (Adelaide)


	Adelaide Lightning		Melbourne Boomers

	1	2
			Watch
	2.9	1.34
	2.85	1.34	Watch
	3.04	1.35
	3.04	1.38
	2.75	1.4
	2.99	1.37
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.57)	1.37 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Lightning
31.9%

Melbourne Boomers
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Melbourne Boomers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Lightning than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Boomers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Adelaide Lightning - Melbourne Boomers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:79

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Adelaide have a series of guest games.

Recently Melbourne have a series of home games.

In this match Melbourne is a favorite.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Adelaide won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 26 matches and goals 2329-2574.

Including matches at home between the teams Adelaide won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1100-1211.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Lightning
Australian WNBL
27.01.24	Adelaide Lightning - Canberra Capitals	84:67 ✺
20.01.24	Townsville Fire - Adelaide Lightning	75:90 ✺
17.01.24	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	88:65 ✺
10.01.24	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	96:68 ✺
07.01.24	Perth Lynx - Adelaide Lightning	84:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLL
- Melbourne Boomers
Australian WNBL
30.01.24	Bendigo Spirit - Melbourne Boomers	80:70 ✺
24.01.24	Melbourne Boomers - Perth Lynx	90:76 ✺
20.01.24	Melbourne Boomers - Southside Flyers	82:84 ✺
13.01.24	Melbourne Boomers - Townsville Fire	94:58 ✺
10.01.24	Melbourne Boomers - Townsville Fire	57:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
16.12.23	Melbourne Boomers - Adelaide Lightning	59:68
01.11.23	Adelaide Lightning - Melbourne Boomers	60:68
22.12.22	Melbourne Boomers - Adelaide Lightning	106:100 OT (91:91)
17.12.22	Adelaide Lightning - Melbourne Boomers	64:89
12.11.22	Melbourne Boomers - Adelaide Lightning	85:81
26.03.22	Adelaide Lightning - Melbourne Boomers	49:61
24.03.22	Melbourne Boomers - Adelaide Lightning	95:64

Adelaide Lightning - Melbourne Boomers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide