Match Info

WNBL Women - Round 9

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Quaycentre (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9Now, ESPN


	Sydney Flames		Adelaide Lightning

	1	2
	2	1.67
	1.9	1.83
	1.99	1.71
	2.05	1.75
	2.05	1.72
	2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.09)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Flames
46.4%

Adelaide Lightning
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Adelaide Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Flames than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Cann M. (C)	41. Brazel T.
11. Emma-Nnopu A.	20. Feagin S.
21. Froling K.	4. Loughridge D. (C)
1. Nicholson L.	11. Pupuke-Robati S.
52. Thompson U.	7. Talbot S.
Substitutes
12. Martin C.	12. Bollmann E.
14. McSpadden L.	10. Freer M.
8. Miller Z.	6. Porter R.
30. Norris M.	31. Strawbridge A.
22. Perkins R.	1. Tofaeono E.
4. Pitman C.
6. Swain S.
Coaches
. Garlepp R.	. Parham Ammar A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 1344:1498. (average 67.2:74.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 693:661. (average 77:73.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Flames
Australian WNBL
06.12.25	Townsville Fire - Sydney Flames	93:60 ✺
28.11.25	Sydney Flames - Bendigo Spirit	64:80 ✺
26.11.25	Sydney Flames - Geelong Venom	97:94 OT ✺
21.11.25	Southside Flyers - Sydney Flames	93:76 ✺
14.11.25	Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames	96:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL
- Adelaide Lightning
Australian WNBL
09.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning	76:71 ✺
29.11.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	71:65 ✺
25.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire	64:90 ✺
21.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom	99:93 OT ✺
18.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Bendigo Spirit	74:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
08.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames	88:71
18.01.25	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	84:60
21.12.24	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	73:86
20.11.24	Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames	78:54
17.01.24	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	88:65
05.01.24	Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames	74:67
06.12.23	Adelaide Lightning - Sydney Flames	64:66

Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide