Match Info

WNBL Women - Round 10

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Red Energy Arena (Bendigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9Now, ESPN


	Bendigo Spirit		Adelaide Lightning

	1	2
	1.24	3.4
	1.19	3.94
	1.3	3.17	Watch
	1.25	3.8
	1.3	3.37
	1.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.2)	3.57 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bendigo Spirit
74%

Adelaide Lightning
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.8%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bendigo Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Adelaide Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 152, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Borlase I.	41. Brazel T.
23. Griffin K.	20. Feagin S. (C)
4. McConnell M.	4. Loughridge D.
7. Pollerd O.	11. Pupuke-Robati S.
13. Wehrung A. (C)	7. Talbot S.
Substitutes
3. Booth G.	12. Bollmann E.
8. MacGregor C.	15. Fejo J.
0. McDowell-White H.	10. Freer M.
53. Rees K.	31. Strawbridge A.
5. Simpson M.	1. Tofaeono E.
Coaches
. Kereama K.	. Parham Ammar A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 5.

Bendigo has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Adelaide has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bendigo is a strong favorite.

We predict that Bendigo will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1043:900. (average 74.5:64.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bendigo won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 558:498. (average 79.7:71.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bendigo Spirit
Australian WNBL
13.12.25	Geelong Venom - Bendigo Spirit	71:77 ✺
07.12.25	Southside Flyers - Bendigo Spirit	67:75 ✺
05.12.25	Bendigo Spirit - Geelong Venom	93:58 ✺
29.11.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	71:65 ✺
28.11.25	Sydney Flames - Bendigo Spirit	64:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Adelaide Lightning
Australian WNBL
13.12.25	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	75:94 ✺
09.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning	76:71 ✺
29.11.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	71:65 ✺
25.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Townsville Fire	64:90 ✺
21.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Geelong Venom	99:93 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
29.11.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	71:65
18.11.25	Adelaide Lightning - Bendigo Spirit	74:82
24.01.25	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	65:59
27.12.24	Adelaide Lightning - Bendigo Spirit	67:95
02.11.24	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	84:70
10.01.24	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	96:68
15.12.23	Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning	81:77

Bendigo Spirit - Adelaide Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide