Match Info

Lega A - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: BLM Group Arena (Trento)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Italy	LBA TV
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Basket Trento		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.47	Watch
	2.72	1.47
	2.62	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.67	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.36)	1.48 (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Trento
36.4%

Virtus Bologna
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

67.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Trento will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trento: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Cheickh Niang P.	2. Baiocchi M.
10. Forray A.	3. Edwards C.
8. Jogela M.	7. Niang S.
3. Jones D.	9. Smailagic A.
1. Steward D.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
11. Airhienbuwa T.	45. Akele N.
22. Aldridge P.	31. Diarra A.
99. Battle K.	35. Diouf M.
26. Bayehe J.	24. Ferrari F.
68. Hassan P.	23. Hackett D.
23. Jakimovski A.	34. Jallow K.
21. Mawugbe S.	30. Morgan M.
Coaches
. Cancellieri M.	. Jakovljevic N.

Preview

Trento leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 3.

Trento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Virtus Bologna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Virtus Bologna could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trento won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1578:1743. (average 78.9:87.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 799:842. (average 79.9:84.2).

Outrights of Italian Lega A Basketball for now

Virtus Bologna: 19.47% Trento: 2.69%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Virtus Bologna	2	2	0	188:158	4
9	Trento	2	1	1	173:171	2

Last Results with these Odds

Basket Trento - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.54%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Trento
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.05.26	Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna	102:85 ✺
19.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	84:87 ✺
17.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	102:71 ✺
10.05.26	Basket Trento - Olimpia Milano	84:74 ✺
03.05.26	Udine - Basket Trento	69:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWLWW
- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.05.26	Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna	102:85 ✺
19.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	84:87 ✺
17.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	102:71 ✺
10.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Varese	104:85 ✺
03.05.26	Dinamo Sassari - Virtus Bologna	73:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
22.05.26	Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna	102:85
19.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	84:87
17.05.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	102:71
01.02.26	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	85:87
01.11.25	Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna	83:102
10.03.25	Virtus Bologna - Basket Trento	80:75
22.12.24	Basket Trento - Virtus Bologna	87:79

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