Match Info

ACB - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Merino C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Portugal	DAZN 4
Spain	DAZN Espana
Ukraine	Maincast Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Baskonia		Barcelona

	1	2
	1.46	2.5	Watch
	1.56	2.35
	1.56	2.5
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.58	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	2.4 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
60.9%

Barcelona
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baskonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Baskonia - Barcelona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Barcelona will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Radzevicius G.	43. Kusturica N.
5. Omoruyi E.	23. Shengelia T.
1. Diakite M.	6. Vesely J.
11. Forrest T.	0. Punter K.
4. Villar R.	2. Marcos J.
Substitutes
14. Edwards J.	8. Brizuela D.
25. Frisch C.	21. Clyburn W.
7. Kurucs R.	19. Fall Y.
9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.	14. Hernangomez W.
2. Simmons K.	5. Norris M.
10. Spagnolo M.	17. Nunez J.
	44. Parra J.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Pascual X.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Baskonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Baskonia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Baskonia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1720:1794. (average 86:89.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Baskonia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 819:795. (average 91:88.3).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Barcelona: 11.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Baskonia	2	2	0	216:175	4
4	Barcelona	2	1	1	213:201	2

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.54%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
18.04.26	Joventut Badalona - Baskonia	81:69 ✺
Euroleague
16.04.26	Partizan Belgrade - Baskonia	91:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.04.26	Baskonia - Gran Canaria 2014	88:86 ✺
Euroleague
10.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Baskonia	72:82 ✺
07.04.26	Baskonia - Maccabi Tel Aviv	101:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
24.04.26	AS Monaco Basket - Barcelona	79:70 ✺
21.04.26	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	80:72 ✺
Spanish ACB League
19.04.26	Força Lleida CE - Barcelona	90:80 ✺
Euroleague
17.04.26	Barcelona - Bayern München	95:69 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.04.26	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	90:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Basketball Cup
21.02.26	Barcelona - Baskonia	67:70
Euroleague
06.02.26	Baskonia - Barcelona	91:97
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	91:83
18.05.25	Baskonia - Barcelona	110:98
Euroleague
30.01.25	Baskonia - Barcelona	88:86
08.11.24	Barcelona - Baskonia	91:68

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