Match Info

Euroleague - Round 4

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Fernando Buesa Arena (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Silva S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Turkey	S Sport 2
World	EuroLeague TV


	Baskonia		Beşiktaş

	1	2
	1.51	2.35	Watch
	1.70	2.18
	1.62	2.25
	1.7	2.23
	1.75	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.2
	1.7	2.23	Watch
	1.64	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baskonia
57.3%

Beşiktaş
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baskonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Baskonia - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Baskonia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Beşiktaş (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Beşiktaş (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 191.5, OT - over (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 1 - 25%). Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lawson A.	21. Brown A.
8. Sedekerskis T.	20. Omoruyi E.
35. Faried K.	32. Gabriel W.
3. Stewart D.J.	24. Nowell J.
2. Simmons K.	1. Dotson D.
Substitutes
12. Baugh D.	11. Birsen J.
5. Duarte C.	5. DeJulius D.
25. Frisch C.	30. Korkmaz F.
6. Joksimovic S.	9. Morgan C.
7. Kurucs R.	6. Ugurlu B.
21. Marcio	12. Wilbekin S.
10. Spagnolo M.	41. Zizic A.
Coaches
. Galbiati P.	. Alimpijevic D.

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Baskonia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Baskonia in today's match, at odds of 1.75.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Baskonia has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 160:124 (averaging 80:62 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Baskonia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 77:51 goals.

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Besiktas: 2.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
7	Besiktas	4	2	2	377:368
19	Baskonia	4	1	3	347:385

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.4%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
04.10.26	Baskonia - Girona	118:78 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Baskonia - Olimpia Milano	87:76 ✺
29.09.26	Valencia - Baskonia	111:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
27.09.26	San Pablo Burgos - Baskonia	97:98 ✺
Euroleague
24.09.26	Baskonia - Olympiacos Piraeus	89:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Besiktas Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
05.10.26	Beşiktaş - Trabzonspor	90:81 ✺
Euroleague
02.10.26	Beşiktaş - Barcelona	82:95 ✺
30.09.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Beşiktaş	93:109 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
27.09.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Beşiktaş	95:81 ✺
Euroleague
25.09.26	Beşiktaş - Valencia	94:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
08.03.13	Beşiktaş - Baskonia	73:83
10.01.13	Baskonia - Beşiktaş	77:51

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