Match Info

Euroleague - Round 27

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: SAP Garden (Munich)

Referee: Radojkovic J. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Bayern München		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	2.4	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.25	1.67
	2.35	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.45	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.51)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern München
40.7%

AS Monaco Basket
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

AS Monaco Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	0%	15.2%

Bayern München - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Bayern München will win (votes: 28 - 87.5%). Monaco will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern München: 76% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Bayern München (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 172, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern München will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern München (votes: 28 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Giffey N.	4. Blossomgame J.
21. Hollatz J.	11. Diallo A.
33. McCormack D.	55. James M.
22. Mike I.	0. Okobo E.
13. Obst A.	10. Theis D.
Substitutes
1. Da Silva O.	23. Begarin J.
0. Dimitrijevic N.	6. Michineau D.
32. Gabriel W.	33. Mirotic N.
10. Jessup J.	26. Nedovic N.
16. Jovic S.	32. Strazel M.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.	22. Tarpey T.
7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Pesic S.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 1.

Bayern München is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Monaco's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Bayern München has had a series of home games.

Monaco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Bayern München will win today's game, with odds of 2.37.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 720:811. (average 80:90.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern München won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 334:352. (average 83.5:88).

Standings

		Pl	W	L
17	Bayern	4	1	3	333:364

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern München - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.38%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

AS Monaco Basket - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 61.62%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern München Basketball
Euroleague
03.02.26	Bayern München - Paris	81:75 ✺
German BBL
01.02.26	Bayern München - Ratiopharm Ulm	62:79 ✺
Euroleague
29.01.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Bayern München	64:79 ✺
German BBL
25.01.26	Bayern München - s.Oliver Wurzburg	98:79 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Bayern München - Valencia	97:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWWW
- AS Monaco Basket
Euroleague
03.02.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - AS Monaco Basket	104:87 ✺
French LNB
01.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Le Portel	113:86 ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	AS Monaco Basket - Virtus Bologna	82:84 ✺
French LNB
25.01.26	Saint-Quentin - AS Monaco Basket	73:98 ✺
Euroleague
22.01.26	Real Madrid - AS Monaco Basket	90:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
19.12.25	AS Monaco Basket - Bayern München	103:77
15.01.25	Bayern München - AS Monaco Basket	95:94
17.12.24	AS Monaco Basket - Bayern München	93:74
11.04.24	AS Monaco Basket - Bayern München	89:85
22.12.23	Bayern München - AS Monaco Basket	80:91
31.03.23	Bayern München - AS Monaco Basket	81:84
25.11.22	AS Monaco Basket - Bayern München	80:79

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