Match Info

Euroleague - Round 7

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: SAP Garden (Munich)

Referee: Vilius G. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Bayern München		Real Madrid

	1	2
	2.9	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.46	Watch
	2.63	1.47	Watch
	2.67	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern München
35.1%

Real Madrid
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Bayern München - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bayern München will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jovic S.	6. Abalde A.
11. Lucic V.	11. Hezonja M.
22. Mike I.	0. Lyles T.
13. Obst A.	12. Maledon T.
7. Voigtmann J.	22. Tavares E.
Substitutes
44. Baldwin K.	13. Almansa Perez I.
1. Da Silva O.	7. Campazzo F.
32. Gabriel W.	14. Deck G.
21. Hollatz J.	16. Garuba U.
10. Jessup J.	1. Kramer D.
8. Kratzer L.	23. Llull S.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.	8. Okeke C.
Coaches
. Herbert G.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Real Madrid could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bayern München won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1513:1658. (average 79.6:87.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayern München won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 783:819. (average 78.3:81.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.67%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern München Basketball
German BBL
26.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Bayern München	67:61 ✺
Euroleague
24.10.25	Bayern München - Olympiacos Piraeus	71:96 ✺
German Cup Basketball
20.10.25	Bayern München - Lowen Braunschweig	99:64 ✺
Euroleague
16.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Bayern München	88:73 ✺
14.10.25	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	64:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW
- Real Madrid basketball
Spanish ACB League
26.10.25	Real Madrid - Basquet Manresa	87:75 ✺
Euroleague
22.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Real Madrid	92:91 ✺
Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Real Madrid - San Pablo Burgos	90:80 ✺
Euroleague
17.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Real Madrid	90:75 ✺
15.10.25	Real Madrid - Partizan Belgrade	93:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
18.04.25	Real Madrid - Bayern München	93:71
03.01.25	Real Madrid - Bayern München	88:76
03.10.24	Bayern München - Real Madrid	97:89
09.01.24	Bayern München - Real Madrid	71:92
14.12.23	Real Madrid - Bayern München	88:73
06.04.23	Real Madrid - Bayern München	79:67
13.12.22	Bayern München - Real Madrid	64:68

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