Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 25

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: ChorusLife Arena (Bergamo)


	Blu Basket Bergamo		Rieti

	1	2
	2.12	1.65
	2.31	1.62
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.83)	1.63 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blu Basket Bergamo
42.6%

Rieti
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blu Basket Bergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blu Basket Bergamo's form might have worsened.

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rieti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blu Basket Bergamo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blu Basket Bergamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rieti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Blu Basket Bergamo - Rieti Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Rieti (1.72) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Rieti will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rieti will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Blu Basket (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Rieti (votes: 11 - 84.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bogliardi M.	8. Guariglia T.
7. Harrison D.	22. Hogue D.
14. Nobili N.	5. Palumbo M.
17. Udom M.	11. Perry D.
1. Williams J.	27. Udom L.
Substitutes
3. Bossi S.	29. Mian F.
4. Bosso L.	98. Paesano A.
44. Guiducci A.	7. Pascolo D.
11. Loro A.	13. Piccin L.
10. Piccirilli A.	2. Piunti G.
20. Pollone M.
Coaches
. Ramagli A.	. Ciani F.

Preview

In recent matches, Blu Basket has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rieti is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rieti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blu Basket won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 88:68.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Sebastiani Rieti	2	2	0	160:137	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blu Basket Bergamo
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
25.01.26	Baltur Cento - Blu Basket Bergamo	67:71 ✺
21.01.26	Blu Basket Bergamo - Verona	87:82 OT ✺
18.01.26	Basket Pesaro - Blu Basket Bergamo	79:68 ✺
15.01.26	Mestre - Blu Basket Bergamo	85:90 ✺
10.01.26	Blu Basket Bergamo - Libertas Livorno	68:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
25.01.26	Pistoia Basket - Rieti	85:86 OT ✺
21.01.26	Rieti - Rimini	83:65 ✺
17.01.26	Forlì - Rieti	82:86 OT ✺
09.01.26	Rieti - Cividale	82:54 ✺
04.01.26	Baltur Cento - Rieti	89:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
12.11.25	Rieti - Blu Basket Bergamo	68:88

Blu Basket Bergamo - Rieti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide