Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 11

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Brindisi		Varese

	1	2
	1.5	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.85
	1.47	2.81
	1.5	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.76	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.64)	2.73 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brindisi
65.1%

Varese
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brindisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brindisi's performance.

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brindisi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brindisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brindisi - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Brindisi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brindisi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1812-1810.

Including matches at home between the teams Brindisi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 881-821.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Brindisi
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.12.23	Treviso Basket - Brindisi	86:60 ✺
26.11.23	Brindisi - Virtus Bologna	83:75 ✺
18.11.23	Basket Trento - Brindisi	81:71 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.11.23	Brindisi - Tallinna Kalev	82:69 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.11.23	Venezia - Brindisi	79:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLWL
- Pallacanestro Varese
FIBA Europe Cup
06.12.23	Niners Chemnitz - Varese	109:85 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.12.23	Varese - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	68:75 ✺
26.11.23	Basket Brescia - Varese	116:73 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
22.11.23	TSU Tbilisi - Varese	81:94 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
19.11.23	Varese - Scafati	94:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
19.04.23	Varese - Brindisi	93:86
08.01.23	Brindisi - Varese	90:104
03.04.22	Brindisi - Varese	72:75
07.11.21	Varese - Brindisi	71:84
10.05.21	Brindisi - Varese	108:84
04.02.21	Varese - Brindisi	76:74
27.10.19	Varese - Brindisi	102:78

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