Match Info

Lega A - Round 24

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Valleriani D. (Ita)


	Varese		Scafati

	1	2
	1.5	2.45
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.59	2.34	Watch
	1.55	2.53
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.54	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.69)	2.46 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
61.4%

Scafati
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Varese's performance.

Scafati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scafati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Varese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafati than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scafati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Varese - Scafati Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Akobundu-ehiogu K. N.	47. Akin D.
2. Alviti D.	7. Anim S.
50. Hands J.	20. Cinciarini A.
3. Mitrou-Long E.	21. Maxhuni E.
24. N'Guessan E.	12. Pinkins K.
Substitutes
8. Bradford D.	32. Jovanovic N.
20. Esposito E.	11. Miaschi F.
28. Fall A.	10. Pezzella M.
5. Gray J.	3. Sangiovanni P.
13. Librizzi M.	9. Sorokas P.
19. Reghenzani M.	8. Ulaneo S.
9. Tyus A.	6. Zanelli A.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Ramondino M.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Varese has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Scafati is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varese will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Varese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 465:463 (average 93:92.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Varese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 189:174 (average 94.5:87).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.03.25	Treviso Basket - Varese	88:86 ✺
16.03.25	Varese - Reggiana	63:78 ✺
09.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	89:82 OT ✺
02.03.25	Trapani - Varese	106:93 OT ✺
09.02.25	Varese - Basket Trento	79:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Scafati Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.03.25	Scafati - Napoli Basket	81:91 ✺
16.03.25	Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:102 ✺
09.03.25	Trieste - Scafati	88:75 ✺
02.03.25	Scafati - Venezia	92:96 OT ✺
08.02.25	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
16.11.24	Scafati - Varese	94:85
14.04.24	Scafati - Varese	102:90
19.11.23	Varese - Scafati	94:93
30.04.23	Varese - Scafati	95:81
06.11.22	Scafati - Varese	93:101

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