Match Info
NBL - Round 14Date: 27 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Brisbane Entertainment Centre (Brisbane)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
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Brisbane Bullets |
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Melbourne United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
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3 |
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1.35 |
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 |
3.13 |
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1.32 |
Watch |
 |
3 |
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1.33 |
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 |
3.22 |
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1.37 |
Watch |
 |
3.1 |
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1.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.89) |
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1.35 ↑
(1.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Bullets
30.4% | Melbourne United
69.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Bullets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Bullets than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Brisbane Bullets will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Melbourne will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Bullets (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -6.5 - Melbourne (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 182, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane Bullets (votes: 1 - 50%). Melbourne (votes: 1 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:96 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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4.  Ducas A.
| 15. Bowen K.
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1.  Freeman-Liberty J.
| 35. Doyle M.
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24.  Harrison T.
| 14.  Edwards J.
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8. Norton M. (C)
| 43. Goulding C. (C)
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32. Taylor T.
| 2. Walker T.
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| Substitutes |
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50. Bradtke J.
| 3. Blogg C.
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9. Dalton C.
| 4. Daniels D.
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6. Devers T.
| 30. Koppens T.
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15.  Holt J.
| 13. Krebs T.
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26. McDaniel S.
| 18. Krslovic F.
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12. Purchase J.
| 12. Wilson T.
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18. Smith-Milner T.
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Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Bullets won 1.The current form of both teams is below expectations.Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane Bullets won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1731:1974. (average 86.6:98.7).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane Bullets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 904:1006. (average 90.4:100.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 15.11.25 | Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets | 99:93 | | 17.10.25 | Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United | 86:95 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 30.08.25 | Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets | 98:60 | | Australian NBL | | | 25.01.25 | Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United | 88:115 | | 07.12.24 | Melbourne United - Brisbane Bullets | 114:122 | | 07.11.24 | Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United | 103:120 | | Club Friendly Basketball | | | 10.09.24 | Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United | 111:104 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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