Match Info

NBL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports


	Melbourne United		Tasmania JackJumpers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.3
	1.22	3.9
	1.22	4.36
	1.26	3.54	Watch
	1.29	3.3
	1.24	4.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.29)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
75%

Tasmania JackJumpers
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 171.5, OT - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 167, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -8, OT - Melbourne (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Daniels D.	33. Bannan J.
7. Delany F.	12. Campbell T.
43. Goulding C. (C)	5. Deng M.
18. Krslovic F.	7. Johnson D.
2. Walker T.	11. Marshall N.
Substitutes
15. Bowen K.	3. Drmic A. (C)
35. Doyle M.	2. Nunn B.
14. Edwards J.	14. Richards J.
51. Ili S.	15. Woodhill A.
30. Koppens T.
13. Krebs T.
9. Machar M.
12. Wilson T.
Coaches
. Vickerman D.	. Roth S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tasmania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1675:1727. (average 83.8:86.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 866:868. (average 86.6:86.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Tasmania JackJumpers	8	6	2	790:748	0.750
7	Melbourne United	7	3	4	647:630	0.429

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Melbourne United: 24.79% Tasmania JackJumpers: 11.38%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
19.02.26	Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix	95:91 ✺
14.02.26	Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks	91:100 ✺
12.02.26	Cairns Taipans - Melbourne United	85:89 ✺
07.02.26	Melbourne United - Adelaide 36ers	76:87 ✺
30.01.26	New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United	97:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLL
- Tasmania JackJumpers
Australian NBL
18.02.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Illawarra Hawks	70:103 ✺
14.02.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers	120:104 ✺
06.02.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets	114:70 ✺
31.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers	91:89 ✺
30.01.26	Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers	96:93 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
17.01.26	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	79:77
03.01.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:75
23.12.25	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	73:92
18.09.25	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	84:88
01.02.25	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	94:92
23.12.24	Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers	91:97
28.09.24	Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United	81:72

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