Match Info

NBL - Round 6

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: WIN Entertainment Centre (Wollongong) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:30	ESPN


	Illawarra Hawks		Brisbane Bullets

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.35
	1.63	2.18
	1.67	2.23
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.66	2.28	Watch
	1.65	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 197.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illawarra Hawks
58.6%

Brisbane Bullets
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Brisbane Bullets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Bullets than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Illawarra Hawks - Brisbane Bullets Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Illawarra (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:98

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Doyle M.	24. Harrison T.
13. Froling S.	4. Hinton N.
1. Harvey T.	3. Mackinnon M.
44. Maker M.	19. Neto R.
9. Swaka W.	2. Williams J.
Substitutes
5. Adnam K.	9. Mag M.
21. Blanchfield T.	11. Mayen L.
32. Doyle A.	0. Murray T.
11. Grida D.	8. Norton M.
6. Hickey W.	14. Rouhliadeff H.
25. Macdonald F.	6. Woodhill A.
30. Martin K.
16. Narkle J.
Coaches
. Tatum J.	. Weaver W.

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 10th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 4.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Brisbane Bullets could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Illawarra holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Illawarra has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1883:1747 (averaging 94.2:87.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Illawarra against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 946:853 goals (averaging 94.6:85.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Brisbane Bullets	9	4	5	842:878	0.444
10	Illawarra Hawks	10	2	8	952:1051	0.200

Outrights of Australian NBL for now

Brisbane Bullets: 3.74% Illawarra Hawks: 2.14%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illawarra Hawks
Australian NBL
22.10.26	Illawarra Hawks - Sydney Kings	82:108 ✺
18.10.26	Melbourne United - Illawarra Hawks	89:91 ✺
11.10.26	Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans	100:110 ✺
09.10.26	Illawarra Hawks - Tasmania JackJumpers	112:122 ✺
04.10.26	South East Melbourne Phoenix - Illawarra Hawks	113:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL
- Brisbane Bullets
Australian NBL
21.10.26	Tasmania JackJumpers - Brisbane Bullets	106:85 ✺
15.10.26	Brisbane Bullets - South East Melbourne Phoenix	115:105 ✺
08.10.26	Cairns Taipans - Brisbane Bullets	97:91 ✺
03.10.26	Brisbane Bullets - Tasmania JackJumpers	99:109 OT ✺
30.09.26	Sydney Kings - Brisbane Bullets	93:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
25.09.26	Brisbane Bullets - Illawarra Hawks	103:95
26.01.26	Brisbane Bullets - Illawarra Hawks	75:113
11.12.25	Illawarra Hawks - Brisbane Bullets	100:85
11.10.25	Illawarra Hawks - Brisbane Bullets	116:89
20.01.25	Illawarra Hawks - Brisbane Bullets	121:87
27.12.24	Brisbane Bullets - Illawarra Hawks	84:102
27.09.24	Illawarra Hawks - Brisbane Bullets	113:101

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