Match Info

ACB - Round 13

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Spain	DAZN Espana


	CB Breogán		Baskonia

	1	2
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.65	1.46	Watch
	2.47	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.47
	2.66	1.5	Watch
	2.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.84)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Breogán
36.3%

Baskonia
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Breogán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

CB Breogán - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Breogán will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Baskonia will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breogán: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 180.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CB Breogán will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Andric M.	18. Diop K.
22. Brankovic D.	11. Forrest T.
1. Cook K.	7. Kurucs R.
47. Kurucs A.	17. Radzevicius G.
4. Russell D.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
10. Alonso F.	25. Frisch C.
8. Apic D.	0. Howard M.
17. Aranitovic A.	77. Joksimovic S.
0. Dibba B.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
19. Mavra D.	5. Omoruyi E.
23. Quintela E.	10. Spagnolo M.
18. Sakho J.
Coaches
. Casimiro L.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Baskonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Baskonia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 870:971. (average 72.5:80.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Breogán won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 467:512. (average 77.8:85.3).

Last Results with these Odds

CB Breogán - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.36%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Baskonia - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 66.64%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
27.12.25	Joventut Badalona - CB Breogán	83:75 ✺
21.12.25	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	100:99 ✺
13.12.25	CB Breogán - Canarias	96:108 ✺
06.12.25	Girona - CB Breogán	103:80 ✺
22.11.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	105:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW
- Saski Baskonia
Spanish ACB League
27.12.25	Baskonia - San Pablo Burgos	89:77 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Valencia - Baskonia	91:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
21.12.25	Unicaja Malaga - Baskonia	90:93 ✺
Euroleague
19.12.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	134:124 OT ✺
17.12.25	Baskonia - AS Monaco Basket	85:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
30.03.25	CB Breogán - Baskonia	88:82
19.01.25	Baskonia - CB Breogán	97:91
14.04.24	Baskonia - CB Breogán	76:74
24.09.23	CB Breogán - Baskonia	79:88
30.04.23	Baskonia - CB Breogán	97:76
27.12.22	CB Breogán - Baskonia	77:86
20.03.22	Baskonia - CB Breogán	89:84

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