Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Cal Poly Mustangs		Cal State Northridge Matadors

	1	2
	2.1	1.77
	2	1.73
	2.17	1.72
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2	1.73
	2.1	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
45.4%

Cal State Northridge Matadors
54.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cal State Northridge Matadors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal State Northridge Matadors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:89

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cal State Northridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1446:1525. (average 72.3:76.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal Poly won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 821:824. (average 74.6:74.9).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

CS Northridge: 0.22% Cal Poly: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	UC Riverside Highlanders - Cal Poly Mustangs	87:94 ✺
29.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs	79:104 ✺
24.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	78:93 ✺
22.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	107:67 ✺
15.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors	66:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Cal State Northridge Matadors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC San Diego Tritons	81:64 ✺
29.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - UC Davis Aggies	94:78 ✺
24.01.26	Hawaii Warriors - Cal State Northridge Matadors	89:68 ✺
17.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Long Beach State 49ers	80:87 ✺
15.01.26	UC San Diego Tritons - Cal State Northridge Matadors	79:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	95:90
15.02.25	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	89:85
07.12.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	91:102
08.02.24	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	78:65
28.12.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	73:83
11.02.23	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	64:53
29.12.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors	67:57

Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors