Match Info

NCAA

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Cal Poly Mustangs		Hawaii Warriors

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	3.1	1.33
	2.97	1.35	Watch
	3.15	1.33
	3.47	1.3
	3.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.5)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
29.8%

Hawaii Warriors
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

72.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hawaii Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawaii Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 1.

Recent performances by Cal Poly have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hawaii is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hawaii may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hawaii is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1259:1435. (average 63:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal Poly won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 664:716. (average 66.4:71.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	84:78 ✺
08.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	95:90 ✺
03.01.26	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal Poly Mustangs	74:66 ✺
01.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC San Diego Tritons	67:65 ✺
21.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Idaho Vandals	80:83 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWL
- Hawaii Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Hawaii Warriors - UC Irvine Anteaters	67:66 ✺
03.01.26	UC San Diego Tritons - Hawaii Warriors	83:73 ✺
01.01.26	UC Riverside Highlanders - Hawaii Warriors	45:88 ✺
13.12.25	Hawaii Warriors - UTEP Miners	66:61 ✺
06.12.25	Hawaii Warriors - Cal State Fullerton Titans	69:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.02.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors	79:63
04.01.25	Hawaii Warriors - Cal Poly Mustangs	68:55
15.02.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors	51:80
27.01.24	Hawaii Warriors - Cal Poly Mustangs	83:73
04.02.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors	56:69
31.12.22	Hawaii Warriors - Cal Poly Mustangs	57:48
24.02.22	Hawaii Warriors - Cal Poly Mustangs	63:54

Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide