Match Info

NCAA

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	2.05	1.8
	1.95	1.78
	2.06	1.8
	1.95	1.78	Watch
	2	1.8
	2	1.73
	1.95	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.88)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
47%

Cal Poly Mustangs
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cal Poly Mustangs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bakersfield will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bakersfield (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Cal Poly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bakersfield won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 826:740. (average 68.8:61.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bakersfield won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 483:414. (average 69:59.1).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Cal Poly: 0.22% CSU Bakersfield: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	Hawaii Warriors - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	98:71 ✺
17.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC San Diego Tritons	62:83 ✺
15.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC Santa Barbara Gauchos	69:75 ✺
10.01.26	Long Beach State 49ers - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	81:75 ✺
08.01.26	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - UC Riverside Highlanders	67:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	78:93 ✺
22.01.26	UC Santa Barbara Gauchos - Cal Poly Mustangs	107:67 ✺
15.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - Hawaii Warriors	66:86 ✺
10.01.26	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Davis Aggies	84:78 ✺
08.01.26	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs	95:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.03.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	98:72
30.01.25	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs	81:90
02.03.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	56:68
20.01.24	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs	65:53
15.02.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	62:70
05.01.23	Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs	61:51
22.02.22	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	60:61

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners - Cal Poly Mustangs