Match Info

WNBL Women - Round 11

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: AIS Arena (Canberra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	9Now, ESPN


	Canberra Capitals		Sydney Flames

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.3
	1.49	2.39
	1.57	2.38
	1.57	2.33
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.29)	2.34 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra Capitals
60.5%

Sydney Flames
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canberra Capitals's form might have worsened.

Sydney Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Flames's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Sydney will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 150.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5, OT - Canberra (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Canberra Capitals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Canberra (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Aokuso Z. (C)	3. Cann M.
24. Brancatisano I.	11. Emma-Nnopu A.
10. Munger N.	21. Froling K.
13. Puoch N.	1. Nicholson L. (C)
88. Tupaea T.	52. Thompson U.
Substitutes
9. Bobongie M.	12. Martin C.
21. Clark J.	24. McDowell-White J.
4. Hayward S.	14. McSpadden L.
3. Morrell T.	8. Miller Z.
30. Sissoko K.	30. Norris M.
7. Solway A.	4. Pitman C.
1. Watkins T.	6. Swain S.
Coaches
. Goriss P.	. Garlepp R.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 1.

Canberra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sydney is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Canberra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Canberra could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1401:1381. (average 70.1:69.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 664:584. (average 66.4:58.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra Capitals
Australian WNBL
23.12.25	Perth Lynx - Canberra Capitals	75:49 ✺
20.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Geelong Venom	77:73 ✺
12.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Southside Flyers	97:71 ✺
09.12.25	Canberra Capitals - Adelaide Lightning	76:71 ✺
06.12.25	Geelong Venom - Canberra Capitals	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- Sydney Flames
Australian WNBL
23.12.25	Townsville Fire - Sydney Flames	79:74 ✺
19.12.25	Sydney Flames - Townsville Fire	76:96 ✺
13.12.25	Sydney Flames - Adelaide Lightning	75:94 ✺
06.12.25	Townsville Fire - Sydney Flames	93:60 ✺
28.11.25	Sydney Flames - Bendigo Spirit	64:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian WNBL
14.11.25	Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames	96:56
06.11.25	Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals	73:64
08.02.25	Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames	71:86
30.01.25	Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames	88:92 OT
02.11.24	Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals	102:85
19.01.24	Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals	90:65
08.12.23	Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames	70:72

Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide