Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Benito M. (Bra)


	Corinthians Paulista		Pinheiros

	1	2
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	2.15	1.58
	2.18	1.63
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.74)	1.61 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
42.1%

Pinheiros
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians Paulista's form might have worsened.

Pinheiros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pinheiros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians Paulista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pinheiros than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pinheiros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Corinthians Paulista - Pinheiros Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians Paulista (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Corinthians Paulista will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Clark E.	55. de Lima P.
14. Munford R.	7. Barbosa Y.
23. Caue L.	33. Santos A.
10. Victao	1. Sloan D.
55. Elinho	0. Gregate F.
Substitutes
4. Borges C.	26. Betinho
3. Cardoso L.	17. Boff B.
1. Faria T.	9. Buffat J. M.
17. Gabriel Novaes	27. Campos A.
8. Pereira K.	5. Farabello F.
11. Raymundo K.	2. Pacheco C.
0. Thomas D.	11. Penha C.
Coaches
. Leite J.	. de Conti G.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 2.

Corinthians Paulista has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pinheiros is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Corinthians Paulista may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1606:1607. (average 80.3:80.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 907:861. (average 82.5:78.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
20.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Pinheiros	98:84 ✺
18.05.26	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	95:65 ✺
12.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	81:92 ✺
09.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	103:97 ✺
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWWL
- EC Pinheiros
Brazilian NBB
20.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Pinheiros	98:84 ✺
18.05.26	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	95:65 ✺
09.05.26	Paulistano - Pinheiros	74:84 ✺
07.05.26	Paulistano - Pinheiros	68:76 ✺
04.05.26	Pinheiros - Paulistano	101:92 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
20.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Pinheiros	98:84
18.05.26	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	95:65
04.04.26	Corinthians Paulista - Pinheiros	74:69
21.12.25	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	109:80
29.03.25	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	83:76
28.11.24	Corinthians Paulista - Pinheiros	69:89
23.03.24	Pinheiros - Corinthians Paulista	77:90

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