Match Info

Euroleague - Round 14

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Giovannetti G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Crvena Zvezda		Barcelona

	1	2
	1.56	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.48
	1.52	2.6
	1.55	2.59	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.57	2.52	Watch
	1.52	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	2.52 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
62.2%

Barcelona
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5, OT - Barcelona (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 20 - 83.3%). Barcelona (votes: 4 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dobric O.	21. Clyburn W.
0. Miller-McIntyre C.	0. Punter K.
95. Moneke C.	13. Satoransky T.
20. Motiejunas D.	23. Shengelia T.
33. Nwora J.	6. Vesely J.
Substitutes
6. Butler J.	8. Brizuela D.
7. Davidovac D.	3. Cale M.
4. Graham D.	19. Fall Y.
15. Izundu E.	14. Hernangomez W.
12. Kalinic N.	2. Marcos J.
2. Miljenovic S.	5. Norris M.
37. Ojeleye S.	44. Parra J.
Coaches
. Obradovic S.	. Pascual X.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 2.

Crvena Zvezda has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barcelona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crvena Zvezda will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1325:1446. (average 73.6:80.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 685:710. (average 76.1:78.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Crvena Zvezda - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.71%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
26.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - Olympiacos Piraeus	91:80 ✺
Adriatic League
23.11.25	Vienna Basket - Crvena Zvezda	82:98 ✺
Euroleague
21.11.25	Valencia - Crvena Zvezda	76:73 ✺
Adriatic League
17.11.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Crvena Zvezda	87:86 ✺
Euroleague
13.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket	91:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- FC Barcelona Basketball
Euroleague
26.11.25	Barcelona - ASVEL Basket	88:78 ✺
Spanish ACB League
23.11.25	Gran Canaria 2014 - Barcelona	61:72 ✺
Euroleague
20.11.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Barcelona	74:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Barcelona - Baskonia	91:83 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	88:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
27.12.24	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	74:78
18.10.24	Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona	82:81
02.02.24	Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona	76:85
10.11.23	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	86:81
17.03.23	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	85:79
30.12.22	Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona	94:99 OT (84:84)
18.03.22	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	82:70

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