Match Info
NBADate: 24 November 2025, MondayLocation: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Miami Heat |
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Dallas Mavericks |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 241.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Miami Heat
71.4% | Dallas Mavericks
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 239.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 230.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -7.5, OT - Miami (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Miami Heat will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 9 - 90%). Dallas (votes: 1 - 10%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 125:117 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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9.  Larsson P.
| 32.  Flagg C.
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13. Adebayo B.
| 25. Washington P. J.
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7. Ware K.
| 21. Gafford D.
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45. Mitchell D.
| 00. Christie M.
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14. Herro T.
| 10. Williams B.
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| Substitutes |
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0.  Fontecchio S.
| 30. Cisse M.
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15. Gardner M.
| 1. Hardy J.
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25.  Jakucionis K.
| 13. Marshall N.
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11.  Jaquez Jr. J.
| 16. Martin Ca.
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16. Johnson K.
| 9.  Nembhard R.
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5.  Jovic N.
| 7. Powell D.
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24. Powell N.
| 5. Russell D.
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12. Smith D.
| 31. Thompson K.
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22. Wiggins A.
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17. Young J.
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| Coaches |
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. Spoelstra E.
| . Kidd J.
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Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Dallas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games. In this match, Miami is considered a favorite.There will not play in Miami: Herro T.
(Ankle Injury)
Jovic N.
(Hip Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
Wiggins A.
(Hip Injury)There will not play in Dallas: Exum D.
(Knee Injury)
Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)There are questionable in Dallas: Nembhard R.
(Knee Injury)
Russell D.
(Illness)
Williams B.
(Back Injury)We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2084:2096. (average 104.2:104.8).Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 982:986. (average 109.1:109.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 13.02.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat | 118:113 | | 24.11.24 | Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks | 123:118 OT | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 17.07.24 | Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat | 79:92 | | NBA | | | 10.04.24 | Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks | 92:111 | | 07.03.24 | Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat | 114:108 | | 01.04.23 | Miami Heat - Dallas Mavericks | 129:122 | | 20.01.23 | Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat | 115:90 |
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✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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