Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Dayton Flyers		Virginia Commonwealth Rams

	1	2
	1.76	2.01
	1.78	1.95
	1.81	2.06
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	2 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dayton Flyers
53.2%

Virginia Commonwealth Rams
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dayton Flyers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Virginia Commonwealth Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virginia Commonwealth Rams than the current prediction. (-3%)

Dayton Flyers - Virginia Commonwealth Rams Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 2.

Dayton has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

VCU is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Dayton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dayton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1396:1407. (average 69.8:70.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dayton won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 593:564. (average 74.1:70.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Richmond Spiders - Dayton Flyers	60:65 ✺
27.02.26	George Washington Colonials - Dayton Flyers	66:68 ✺
24.02.26	Dayton Flyers - St. Louis Billikens	77:62 ✺
21.02.26	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	78:66 ✺
18.02.26	George Mason Patriots - Dayton Flyers	67:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW
- Virginia Commonwealth Rams basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - George Mason Patriots	70:65 ✺
28.02.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Fordham Rams	82:63 ✺
20.02.26	St. Louis Billikens - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	88:75 ✺
17.02.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - George Washington Colonials	89:75 ✺
14.02.26	Richmond Spiders - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	67:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.02.26	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	99:73
07.03.25	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	76:79
07.02.25	Dayton Flyers - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	68:73
08.03.24	Dayton Flyers - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	91:86 OT
09.02.24	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	49:47
12.03.23	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	68:56
07.02.23	Virginia Commonwealth Rams - Dayton Flyers	58:62

Dayton Flyers - Virginia Commonwealth Rams: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide