Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Winners stage

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: PalaFerraris (Casale Monferrato)

Referee: Praksch P. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo


	Derthona Basket Tortona		AEK Athens

	1	2
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.34	2.98	Watch
	1.61	2.31
	1.37	3.07	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.37	3.06	Watch
	1.34	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.53)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
67.2%

AEK Athens
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derthona Basket Tortona's performance.

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AEK Athens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derthona Basket Tortona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEK Athens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Derthona Basket Tortona - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tortona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). AEK will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Weems K.	8. Bryce C.
4. Gorham J.	24. Kouzeloglou I.
0. Zerini A.	33. Golden G.
2. Kuhse T.	21. Netzipoglou O.
1. Vital C.	3. Hubb P.
Substitutes
13. Baldasso T.	25. Arsenopoulos N.
19. Biligha P.	7. Flionis D.
7. Candi L.	77. Hale H.
11. Denegri D.	4. Karampelas Z.
23. Josovic A.	19. Kuzminskas M.
14. Kamagate I.	23. Obiesie J.
20. Severini L.	1. Skordilis G.
Coaches
. De Raffaele W.	. Sakota D.

Preview

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Tortona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tortona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tortona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 86:93

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.03.25	Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:102 ✺
Champions League Basketball
12.03.25	Promitheas Patras - Derthona Basket Tortona	60:82 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	89:82 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Promitheas Patras	97:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.03.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- AEK Athens BC
Greek Basket League A1
15.03.25	Lavrio - AEK Athens	79:90 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.03.25	AEK Athens - s.Oliver Wurzburg	84:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
08.03.25	AEK Athens - Peristeri BC	96:67 ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	s.Oliver Wurzburg - AEK Athens	71:77 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
01.03.25	Panionios - AEK Athens	75:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
04.02.25	AEK Athens - Derthona Basket Tortona	93:86

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