Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 22

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pala Mangano (Scafati) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Galasso M. (Ita)


	Scafati		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.15	1.71	Watch
	2.24	1.64	Watch
	2.26	1.67
	2.27	1.64	Watch
	2.15	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.23)	1.67 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scafati
43.1%

Derthona Basket Tortona
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scafati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scafati than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.4%	0%	3.6%

Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Scafati will win (votes: 27 - 96.4%). Tortona will win (votes: 1 - 3.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Scafati: 89.5% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Cinciarini A.	0. Zerini A.
9. Sorokas P.	1. Vital C.
47. Akin D.	2. Kuhse T.
7. Anim S.	34. Weems K.
2. Gray R.	4. Gorham J.
Substitutes
10. Borriello S.	13. Baldasso T.
21. Maxhuni E.	19. Biligha P.
11. Miaschi F.	7. Candi L.
12. Pinkins K.	11. Denegri D.
3. Sangiovanni P.	9. Farias B.
8. Ulaneo S.	14. Kamagate I.
6. Zanelli A.	20. Severini L.
Coaches
. Ramondino M.	. De Raffaele W.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Scafati won 1.

Recent matches Scafati is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tortona is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tortona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tortona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Scafati won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1148:1221 (average 76.5:81.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Scafati won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 591:573 (average 84.4:81.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scafati Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.03.25	Trieste - Scafati	88:75 ✺
02.03.25	Scafati - Venezia	92:96 OT ✺
08.02.25	Pistoia Basket - Scafati	89:91 ✺
02.02.25	Scafati - Dinamo Sassari	98:82 ✺
26.01.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Scafati	88:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Champions League Basketball
12.03.25	Promitheas Patras - Derthona Basket Tortona	60:82 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	89:82 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
04.03.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Promitheas Patras	97:77 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.03.25	Basket Trento - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:89 ✺
Italian Cup Basketball
12.02.25	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.01.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Scafati	99:94
17.03.24	Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona	94:91
07.01.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Scafati	89:52
22.01.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Scafati	79:74
18.12.22	Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona	72:91
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
09.05.21	Scafati - Derthona Basket Tortona	89:69
25.04.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Scafati	69:67

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