Match Info

NCAA

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 6


	Duke Blue Devils		North Carolina Tar Heels

	1	2
	1.02	16
	1.02	11
	1.03	9.44	Watch
	1.02	13
	1.03	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.05)	12.09 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duke Blue Devils
92.2%

North Carolina Tar Heels
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.6%

10.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duke Blue Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

North Carolina Tar Heels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:64

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duke won 3.

Duke has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

North Carolina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Duke is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Duke won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1550:1546. (average 77.5:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Duke won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 852:850. (average 77.5:77.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duke Blue Devils basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.03.26	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Duke Blue Devils	64:93 ✺
28.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Virginia Cavaliers	77:51 ✺
24.02.26	Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Duke Blue Devils	56:100 ✺
21.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Michigan Wolverines	70:63 ✺
16.02.26	Duke Blue Devils - Syracuse Orange	101:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW
- North Carolina Tar Heels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Clemson Tigers	67:63 ✺
28.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Virginia Tech Hokies	89:82 ✺
23.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Louisville Cardinals	77:74 ✺
21.02.26	Syracuse Orange - North Carolina Tar Heels	64:77 ✺
17.02.26	North Carolina State Wolfpack - North Carolina Tar Heels	82:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils	71:68
14.03.25	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels	74:71
08.03.25	North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils	69:82
01.02.25	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels	87:70
09.03.24	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels	79:84
03.02.24	North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils	93:84
04.03.23	North Carolina Tar Heels - Duke Blue Devils	57:62

Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide