Match Info

Euroleague - Round 37

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kowalski M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Ruutu+, Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Fenerbahçe		Real Madrid

	1	2
	1.72	1.96	Watch
	1.78	2.02
	1.8	2.07
	1.8	2.1
	1.75	2.05
	1.75	2.15	Watch
	1.78	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.78)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenerbahçe
53.7%

Real Madrid
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	0%	63.2%

Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Madrid: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Melli N.	11. Hezonja M.
13. Biberovic T.	8. Okeke C.
18. Jantunen M.	22. Tavares E.
20. Hall D.	24. Feliz A.
8. Horton-Tucker T.	7. Campazzo F.
Substitutes
2. Baldwin W.	6. Abalde A.
92. Birch K.	14. Deck G.
1. Birsen J.	16. Garuba U.
11. Boston B.	25. Len A.
50. Colson B.	23. Llull S.
30. Silva C.	0. Lyles T.
32. Zagars A.	12. Maledon T.
Coaches
. Jasikevicius S.	. Scariolo S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.

Fenerbahçe has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Real Madrid has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1524:1637. (average 76.2:81.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 748:800. (average 74.8:80).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Fenerbahce: 10.68% Real Madrid: 8.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
4	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	328:302
14	Real Madrid	4	1	3	345:350

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.09%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenerbahçe Basketball
Euroleague
07.04.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Fenerbahçe	95:80 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Merkezefendi	64:87 ✺
Euroleague
01.04.26	Bayern München - Fenerbahçe	85:76 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
29.03.26	Bursaspor - Fenerbahçe	89:83 OT ✺
Euroleague
27.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
07.04.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid	102:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
05.04.26	Real Madrid - BC Andorra	97:90 ✺
Euroleague
03.04.26	Baskonia - Real Madrid	98:96 ✺
Spanish ACB League
28.03.26	Girona - Real Madrid	93:95 ✺
Euroleague
26.03.26	Real Madrid - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	82:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.10.25	Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe	84:58
06.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid	78:67
05.12.24	Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe	70:82
07.03.24	Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe	79:89
30.11.23	Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid	100:99 OT
29.03.23	Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe	90:75
02.12.22	Fenerbahçe - Real Madrid	71:85

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