Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	Ruutu+
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 1, ERT 2, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	Match 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	DAZN, SVT 1, SVT Play
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Germany		Finland

	1	2
	1.13	6.5	Watch
	1.16	5.25
	1.13	6.25	Watch
	1.15	6.55
	1.12	5.64	Watch
	1.15	6.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.09)	6.05 ↓ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
84.1%

Finland
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.6%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Germany - Finland Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Finland (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, 1st Half - Germany (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +12.5, OT - Finland (1.85) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -15, OT - Germany (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 186.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2Q - Germany (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 178.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +15.5 - Finland (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Finland (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Bonga I. Partizan	34. Grandison J. PAOK
42. Obst A. Bayern	18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce
17. Schroder D. (C) Detroit Pistons	1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara
10. Theis D. AS Monaco	23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz
9. Wagner F. Orlando Magic	19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada
Substitutes
1. Da Silva O. Bayern	30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket
5. da Silva T. Orlando Magic	20. Madsen A. Forca Lleida
21. Hollatz J. Bayern	21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque
34. Kratzer L. Paris	24. Muurinen M.
4. Lo M. Paris	13. Nkamhoua O. Varese
32. Thiemann J. Gunma	9. Salin S. (C) Estudiantes
	35. Seppala I. KTE-Duna
Coaches
. Mumbru A.	. Tuovi L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 5.

Germany is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Finland has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Germany is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Germany won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 527:449. (average 87.8:74.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany basketball
EuroBasket
10.09.25	Germany - Slovenia	99:91 ✺
06.09.25	Germany - Portugal	85:58 ✺
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Germany - Great Britain	120:57 ✺
30.08.25	Lithuania - Germany	88:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Finland basketball
EuroBasket
10.09.25	Finland - Georgia	93:79 ✺
06.09.25	Serbia - Finland	86:92 ✺
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Finland - Lithuania	78:81 ✺
30.08.25	Montenegro - Finland	65:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91
World Championship Basketball
29.08.23	Germany - Finland	101:75
27.02.23	Finland - Germany	81:87
11.11.22	Germany - Finland	94:80
Friendly International Basketball
19.08.16	Germany - Finland	75:66
06.08.16	Finland - Germany	86:79

Germany - Finland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide