Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Telekom Dome (Bonn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Germany		Croatia

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.56	2.32
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.64	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.5)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
58.6%

Croatia
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Germany - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Croatia will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Croatia: 62.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5, OT - Croatia (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 167.25, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Croatia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Germany (votes: 1 - 10%). Croatia (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Kayil J. Alba Berlin	23. Dreznjak M. Studentski Centar
44. Kramer D. Real Madrid	8. Hezonja M. Real Madrid
34. Kratzer L. Bayern	13. Ruzic M. Joventut Badalona
16. Olinde L. Manresa	9. Saric D.
32. Thiemann J. Gunma	3. Smith J. Turk Telekom
Substitutes
1. Da Silva O. Bayern	18. Badzim R. Merkezefendi
20. Delow M. Alba Berlin	29. Bozic L. Fundacion Granada
15. Mattisseck J. Alba Berlin	22. Brankovic D. Rio Breogan
29. Mushidi K. Chemnitz	19. Mavra D. Rio Breogan
3. Schneider T. Fukuoka	99. Nakic T. Murcia
43. Sengfelder C. Ulm	10. Radovcic K. Cibona
11. Weidemann N. Ulm	24. Skara D. Cedevita Olimpija
Coaches
. Mumbru A.	. Mijatovic T.

Preview

Germany is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Germany: Obiesie J. (Inactive) Wagner F. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Croatia: Matkovic K. (Inactive) Zubac I. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 382:386. (average 76.4:77.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Croatia - Germany	93:88 ✺
01.12.25	Cyprus - Germany	64:83 ✺
28.11.25	Germany - Israel	89:69 ✺
EuroBasket
14.09.25	Turkey - Germany	83:88 ✺
12.09.25	Germany - Finland	98:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Croatia basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Croatia - Germany	93:88 ✺
01.12.25	Israel - Croatia	71:85 ✺
28.11.25	Croatia - Cyprus	100:60 ✺
20.08.25	Denmark - Croatia	76:79 ✺
16.08.25	Croatia - Norway	102:53 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Croatia - Germany	93:88
Olympic Games - Basketball
03.07.21	Germany - Croatia	86:76
Friendly International Basketball
16.08.15	Germany - Croatia	63:80
14.08.15	Croatia - Germany	74:72
11.08.13	Croatia - Germany	63:73

Germany - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide