Match Info

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Final

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 2, TMC
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 1, Nova Sports Start
Hungary	M4 Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891


	Turkey		Germany

	1	2
			Watch
	2.18	1.7
			Watch
	2.22	1.68
	2.06	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	1.7 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turkey
44%

Germany
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turkey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turkey than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germany than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.9%	0%	29.1%

Turkey - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Turkey will win (votes: 39 - 70.9%). Germany will win (votes: 16 - 29.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Turkey: 58.9% – 82.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 23 - 67.6%). Germany (votes: 11 - 32.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Germany (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5, OT - Turkey (1.89) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC, 1st Half - Germany (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 163.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 172.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Turkey (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Turkey (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Turkey (votes: 27 - 65.9%). Germany (votes: 14 - 34.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Hazer S. Bahcesehir Koleji	0. Bonga I. Partizan
0. Larkin S. Anadolu Efes	42. Obst A. Bayern
6. Osman C. (C) Panathinaikos	17. Schroder D. (C) Detroit Pistons
24. Osmani E. Anadolu Efes	10. Theis D. AS Monaco
23. Sengun A. Houston Rockets	9. Wagner F. Orlando Magic
Substitutes
10. Bitim O. Fenerbahce	1. Da Silva O. Bayern
30. Bona Adem Philadelphia 76ers	5. da Silva T. Orlando Magic
22. Korkmaz F. Bahcesehir Koleji	21. Hollatz J. Bayern
5. Sanli S. Fenerbahce	34. Kratzer L. Paris
55. Sipahi K. Bahcesehir Koleji	4. Lo M. Paris
33. Yilmaz E. Anadolu Efes	32. Thiemann J. Gunma
77. Yurtseven O. F. Panathinaikos
Coaches
. Ataman E.	. Mumbru A.

Preview

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Turkey won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 317:295. (average 79.3:73.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Turkey basketball
EuroBasket
12.09.25	Greece - Turkey	68:94 ✺
09.09.25	Turkey - Poland	91:77 ✺
06.09.25	Turkey - Sweden	85:79 ✺
03.09.25	Turkey - Serbia	95:90 ✺
01.09.25	Estonia - Turkey	64:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWWW
- Germany basketball
EuroBasket
12.09.25	Germany - Finland	98:86 ✺
10.09.25	Germany - Slovenia	99:91 ✺
06.09.25	Germany - Portugal	85:58 ✺
03.09.25	Finland - Germany	61:91 ✺
01.09.25	Germany - Great Britain	120:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

DBB Supercup
15.08.25	Germany - Turkey	73:71
Friendly International Basketball
07.09.18	Germany - Turkey	79:100
EuroBasket
08.09.15	Germany - Turkey	75:80
DBB Supercup
23.08.15	Germany - Turkey	68:66

Turkey - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide