Match Info

ACB - Round 14

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavello Fontajau (Girona)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Girona		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
	1.65	2.22	Watch
	1.7	2.18
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.73	2.15	Watch
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)	2.15 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
55.9%

Bilbao Basket
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Girona - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bilbao will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bilbao (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5, OT - Bilbao (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 1 - 25%). Bilbao (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Martinez S.	11. Hilliard D.
12. Geben M.	10. Krampelj M.
21. Fernandez J.	32. Hlinason T.
11. Livingston O.	2. Normantas M.
5. Needham D.	19. Pantzar M. J.
Substitutes
4. Busquets J.	13. Bagayoko B.
9. Ferrando G.	22. Font A.
7. Hollanders S.	3. Frey H.
8. Hughes M.	7. Jaworski J.
25. Maric N.	73. Lazarevic S.
29. Susinskas M.	18. Petrasek L.
10. Vildoza J.	12. Zecevic A.
Coaches
. Fernandez M.	. Ponsarnau J.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bilbao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Girona will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Girona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 499:481. (average 83.2:80.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 265:221. (average 88.3:73.7).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Bilbao: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Bilbao	2	1	1	208:196	2
15	Basquet Girona	3	1	2	254:310	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bàsquet Girona
Spanish ACB League
02.01.26	Basquet Manresa - Girona	95:97 ✺
28.12.25	Girona - Força Lleida CE	103:86 ✺
20.12.25	Girona - Canarias	89:96 ✺
14.12.25	Real Madrid - Girona	112:76 ✺
06.12.25	Girona - CB Breogán	103:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLLW
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
02.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Valencia	72:116 ✺
28.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Barcelona	66:71 ✺
21.12.25	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	100:99 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
17.12.25	Prievidza - Bilbao Basket	46:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.12.25	Bilbao Basket - Força Lleida CE	93:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
02.03.25	Bilbao Basket - Girona	96:83
10.11.24	Girona - Bilbao Basket	100:94 OT
27.04.24	Girona - Bilbao Basket	81:68
22.12.23	Bilbao Basket - Girona	80:74
19.03.23	Bilbao Basket - Girona	84:77
14.01.23	Girona - Bilbao Basket	84:59

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