Match Info

ACB - Round 10

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Gran Canaria Arena (Las Palmas)

Referee: Zamorano Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Gran Canaria 2014		Baskonia

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	2.25	1.62
	2.37	1.6
	2.22	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.39	1.6	Watch
	2.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.78)	1.67 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Canaria 2014
43%

Baskonia
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Canaria 2014 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Canaria 2014's form might have worsened.

Baskonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Baskonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Canaria 2014 than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gran Canaria 2014, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Baskonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Gran Canaria 2014 - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gran Canaria will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Baskonia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gran Canaria: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Gran Canaria (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Baskonia (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Brussino N.	18. Diop K.
5. Samar Z.	11. Forrest T.
18. Tobey M.	0. Howard M.
4. Vila Martinez E.	7. Kurucs R.
2. Wong I.	17. Radzevicius G.
Substitutes
6. Albicy A.	1. Diakite M.
12. Alocen C.	25. Frisch C.
23. Kuath K.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
21. Labeyrie L.	5. Omoruyi E.
13. Pelos P.	10. Spagnolo M.
30. Robertson K.	4. Villar R.
10. Salvo M.
Coaches
. Lakovic J.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gran Canaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gran Canaria won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1626:1675. (average 81.3:83.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gran Canaria won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 832:849. (average 83.2:84.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Baskonia	2	2	0	216:175	4

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.16%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Canaria 2014
Champions League Basketball
04.02.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Canarias	72:70 ✺
Spanish ACB League
31.01.26	BC Andorra - Gran Canaria 2014	94:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
27.01.26	Nymburk - Gran Canaria 2014	64:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Valencia	80:90 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.01.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Trieste	71:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
06.02.26	Baskonia - Barcelona	91:97 ✺
03.02.26	Olimpia Milano - Baskonia	109:89 ✺
Spanish ACB League
01.02.26	Canarias - Baskonia	89:85 ✺
Euroleague
30.01.26	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	102:91 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Baskonia - Joventut Badalona	87:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
09.03.25	Baskonia - Gran Canaria 2014	84:80
03.11.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Baskonia	92:86
03.03.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Baskonia	98:80
05.11.23	Baskonia - Gran Canaria 2014	79:88
07.05.23	Baskonia - Gran Canaria 2014	101:97 OT
11.12.22	Gran Canaria 2014 - Baskonia	68:96
03.04.22	Baskonia - Gran Canaria 2014	70:86

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