Match Info

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Illiabum		CAQ Queluz

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.19	1.68
	2.19	1.68
	2.12	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.95)	1.68 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illiabum
44.2%

CAQ Queluz
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

CAQ Queluz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CAQ Queluz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Illiabum - CAQ Queluz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bobbitt C.	5. Black L.
44. Caldeira S.	2. Buggs D.
8. Madureira G.	19. Cardoso J. (C)
41. Pepin G.	3. Tavares G.
14. Sico M. (C)	14. Taylor J.
Substitutes
35. Alves D.	32. Guedes A.
9. Lopes P.	6. Jardim A.
0. Martins A.	16. Lopes D.
20. Martins J.	15. Menem D.
24. Oliveira J.	1. Oliveira S.
88. Pinto P.	10. Pereira H.
22. Simao S.	8. Ribeiro F.
Coaches
. Fechas C.	. Rodrigues C.

Preview

Illiabum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches CAQ Queluz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Illiabum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Illiabum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 256-275.

Including matches at home between the teams Illiabum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 92-90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
21.03.24	Madeira - Illiabum	79:77 OT ✺
16.03.24	Illiabum - Santo André	73:83 ✺
09.03.24	Illiabum - Galitos Barreiro	74:85 ✺
02.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Illiabum	82:77 ✺
24.02.24	Illiabum - Madeira	84:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW
- CAQ Queluz
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
24.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Braga	81:54 ✺
16.03.24	Maia - CAQ Queluz	68:80 ✺
10.03.24	Alianca Sangalhos - CAQ Queluz	74:69 ✺
02.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Illiabum	82:77 ✺
25.02.24	Braga - CAQ Queluz	92:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
02.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Illiabum	82:77
02.04.23	CAQ Queluz - Illiabum	103:87
04.03.23	Illiabum - CAQ Queluz	92:90

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