Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Mun. Nortecoope (Maia)


	Maia		CAQ Queluz

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.23	1.55
	2.5	1.53
	2.51	1.53
	2.48	1.5
	2.23	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.19)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maia
39.5%

CAQ Queluz
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

CAQ Queluz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CAQ Queluz than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Maia - CAQ Queluz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Douglas M.	5. Black L.
4. Gomes D.	2. Buggs D.
5. Guerreiro J.	19. Cardoso J. (C)
1. Mcmillan M.	3. Tavares G.
47. Valente M.	14. Taylor J.
Substitutes
24. Dias F.	32. Guedes A.
30. Dias R.	6. Jardim A.
15. Lopes P. (C)	16. Lopes D.
7. Lucas J.	11. Marques A.
2. Magalhaes M.	15. Menem D.
60. Portugal J.	1. Oliveira S.
8. Santos T.	10. Pereira H.
Coaches
. Gomes R.	. Rodrigues C.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Maia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CAQ Queluz is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

CAQ Queluz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Maia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 284-315.

Including matches at home between the teams Maia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 136-158.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maia Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
13.04.24	Madeira - Maia	88:44 ✺
29.03.24	Maia - Santo André	84:79 ✺
23.03.24	Galitos Barreiro - Maia	83:71 ✺
16.03.24	Maia - CAQ Queluz	68:80 ✺
10.03.24	Maia - Madeira	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW
- CAQ Queluz
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
13.04.24	CAQ Queluz - Alianca Sangalhos	79:63 ✺
30.03.24	Illiabum - CAQ Queluz	86:90 ✺
24.03.24	CAQ Queluz - Braga	81:54 ✺
16.03.24	Maia - CAQ Queluz	68:80 ✺
10.03.24	Alianca Sangalhos - CAQ Queluz	74:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
16.03.24	Maia - CAQ Queluz	68:80
18.02.24	CAQ Queluz - Maia	69:72
05.03.22	CAQ Queluz - Maia	88:76
05.02.22	Maia - CAQ Queluz	68:78

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