Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Illinois State Redbirds		Belmont Bruins

	1	2
	1.96	1.79
	1.9	1.83
	1.98	1.88
	1.9	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)	1.84 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illinois State Redbirds
49%

Belmont Bruins
51%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois State Redbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Belmont Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illinois State Redbirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Bruins than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belmont Bruins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Illinois State Redbirds - Belmont Bruins Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Illinois State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illinois State won 2.

Recent performances by Illinois State have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Belmont is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Belmont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Illinois State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 777:806. (average 77.7:80.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Illinois State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 324:294. (average 81:73.5).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Illinois State: 0.22%

Last Results with these Odds

Illinois State Redbirds - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.82%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois State Redbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Northern Iowa Panthers - Illinois State Redbirds	69:71 ✺
21.02.26	Bradley Braves - Illinois State Redbirds	74:60 ✺
18.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers	78:61 ✺
15.02.26	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Illinois State Redbirds	83:56 ✺
12.02.26	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW
- Belmont Bruins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Evansville Purple Aces	98:64 ✺
21.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Indiana State Sycamores	87:70 ✺
15.02.26	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	70:87 ✺
12.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Northern Iowa Panthers	91:86 ✺
09.02.26	Bradley Braves - Belmont Bruins	95:84 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
24.01.26	Belmont Bruins - Illinois State Redbirds	80:69
07.03.25	Belmont Bruins - Illinois State Redbirds	76:63
29.01.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Belmont Bruins	81:78
04.12.24	Belmont Bruins - Illinois State Redbirds	99:97 OT
23.01.24	Illinois State Redbirds - Belmont Bruins	77:67
10.01.24	Belmont Bruins - Illinois State Redbirds	67:60
04.02.23	Belmont Bruins - Illinois State Redbirds	90:75

Illinois State Redbirds - Belmont Bruins