Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 19 February 2025, Wednesday


	Valparaiso Beacons		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.66	2.27
	1.64	2.2
	1.67	2.1
	1.73	2.18
	1.65	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valparaiso Beacons
56.5%

Missouri State Bears
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valparaiso Beacons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valparaiso Beacons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Valparaiso Beacons - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:69

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Den Haag could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Den Haag will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:20 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:11 (average 1.4:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valparaiso Beacons basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.02.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons	79:69 ✺
12.02.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Belmont Bruins	101:86 ✺
08.02.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Murray State Racers	56:74 ✺
05.02.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Valparaiso Beacons	80:62 ✺
01.02.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Valparaiso Beacons	86:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLL
- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
16.02.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Missouri State Bears	63:58 ✺
12.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces	71:54 ✺
08.02.25	Belmont Bruins - Missouri State Bears	85:68 ✺
05.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Northern Iowa Panthers	61:66 ✺
01.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	77:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.01.25	Missouri State Bears - Valparaiso Beacons	72:73
17.02.24	Missouri State Bears - Valparaiso Beacons	82:74
27.01.24	Valparaiso Beacons - Missouri State Bears	70:81
01.02.23	Missouri State Bears - Valparaiso Beacons	76:67 OT
04.03.22	Missouri State Bears - Valparaiso Beacons	67:58
12.02.22	Missouri State Bears - Valparaiso Beacons	84:66
15.01.22	Valparaiso Beacons - Missouri State Bears	57:74

Valparaiso Beacons - Missouri State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide