The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Missouri State Bears 40.9%
Illinois State Redbirds 59.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Missouri State Bears's form might have worsened.
Illinois State Redbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illinois State Redbirds's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Missouri State Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illinois State Redbirds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Missouri State Bears - Illinois State Redbirds Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:70
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 1.
Missouri State is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Illinois State is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Illinois State will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1368:1398 (average 68.4:69.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Missouri State won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 559:550 (average 69.9:68.8).