Match Info

NBA

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis, IN)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	NBA Global League Pass


	Indiana Pacers		New Orleans Pelicans

	1	2
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.48	Watch
	1.56	2.57	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.55	2.68
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.8)	2.55 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 240.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Indiana Pacers
62.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Indiana Pacers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indiana Pacers's performance.

New Orleans Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Orleans Pelicans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indiana Pacers than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indiana Pacers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Orleans Pelicans than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Orleans Pelicans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Pelicans Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 14 - 70%). New Orleans will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Indiana: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Indiana (votes: 5 - 55.6%). New Orleans (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - New Orleans (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4, OT - Indiana (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Indiana (votes: 6 - 54.5%). New Orleans (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 122:118

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Furphy J.	41. Bey S.
43. Siakam P.	1. Williamson Z.
32. Huff J.	22. Queen D.
23. Nesmith A.	25. Murphy T.
2. Nembhard A.	0. Fears J.
Substitutes
13. Bradley T.	23. Alexander T.
29. Jackson Q.	24. Hawkins J.
7. Jones K.	9. Jordan D.
9. McConnell T.J.	55. Looney K.
11. Potter M.	17. Matkovic K.
26. Sheppard B.	11. McGowens B.
55. Thompson E.	21. Missi Y.
5. Walker J.	14. Peavy M.
	3. Poole J.
Coaches
. Carlisle R.	. Borrego J.

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Indiana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Indiana has had a series of home games.

Indiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Indiana: Haliburton T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jackson I. (Concussion) Mathurin B. (Finger Injury) Toppin O. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in New Orleans: Alvarado J. (Injury) Jones H. (Ankle Injury) Murray D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

We predict that Indiana will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2227:2260. (average 111.4:113).

Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1162:1105. (average 116.2:110.5).

Outrights of NBA for now

Indiana Pacers: 2.03% New Orleans Pelicans: 0.25%

Last Results with these Odds

Indiana Pacers - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.51%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

New Orleans Pelicans - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Indiana Pacers
NBA
14.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Toronto Raptors	101:115 ✺
12.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Boston Celtics	98:96 ✺
10.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	123:99 ✺
08.01.26	Charlotte Hornets - Indiana Pacers	112:114 ✺
06.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Cleveland Cavaliers	116:120 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWWL
- New Orleans Pelicans
NBA
14.01.26	New Orleans Pelicans - Brooklyn Nets	116:113 ✺
13.01.26	New Orleans Pelicans - Denver Nuggets	116:122 ✺
11.01.26	Orlando Magic - New Orleans Pelicans	128:118 ✺
09.01.26	Washington Wizards - New Orleans Pelicans	107:128 ✺
07.01.26	Atlanta Hawks - New Orleans Pelicans	117:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
20.12.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Indiana Pacers	128:109
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
18.07.25	New Orleans Pelicans - Indiana Pacers	104:113
NBA
15.12.24	Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Pelicans	119:104
25.11.24	Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Pelicans	114:110
01.11.24	New Orleans Pelicans - Indiana Pacers	125:118
01.03.24	New Orleans Pelicans - Indiana Pacers	129:102
28.02.24	Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Pelicans	123:114

Indiana Pacers - New Orleans Pelicans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide