Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday


	Italy		Croatia

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	3	1.35
	3.14	1.31
	2.96	1.35	Watch
	2.88	1.36
	2.94	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (1.47)	1.35 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
31.6%

Croatia
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Italy's form might have worsened.

Croatia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Croatia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Italy - Croatia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Croatia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:84

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Lineups


45. Akele N. Virtus Bologna	. Badzim R. Merkezefendi
25. Baldasso T. Derthona Tortona	. Bozic L. Fundacion Granada
22. Bortolani G. Cantu	. Brankovic D. Rio Breogan
4. Candi L. Venezia	. Gnjidic L. Dubrava
28. Casarin D. Cremona	. Hezonja M. Real Madrid
48. Emejuru G.	. Jordano A. Split
24. Ferrari F. Virtus Bologna	. Matkovic K. New Orleans Pelicans
19. Procida G. Real Madrid	. Mavra D. Rio Breogan
38. Rossato R. Reggiana	. Radovcic K. Cibona
18. Spagnolo M. Saski Baskonia	. Sare N. Cedevita Junior
7. Tonut S. Milano	. Saric D.
50. Vincini L. Sassari	. Sikiric A. Split
	. Skara D. Cedevita Olimpija
	. Smith J. Turk Telekom
	. Zubac I. Indiana Pacers
Coaches
. Ramondino M.	. Mijatovic T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3.

Italy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 510:502. (average 72.9:71.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy basketball
World Championship Basketball
02.03.26	Italy - Great Britain	84:75 ✺
27.02.26	Great Britain - Italy	57:93 ✺
30.11.25	Lithuania - Italy	81:82 ✺
27.11.25	Italy - Iceland	76:81 ✺
EuroBasket
07.09.25	Italy - Slovenia	77:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLL
- Croatia basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Germany - Croatia	91:89 OT ✺
27.02.26	Croatia - Germany	93:88 ✺
01.12.25	Israel - Croatia	71:85 ✺
28.11.25	Croatia - Cyprus	100:60 ✺
20.08.25	Denmark - Croatia	76:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

EuroBasket
06.09.22	Italy - Croatia	81:76
World Championship Basketball
28.06.18	Italy - Croatia	72:78
26.11.17	Croatia - Italy	64:80
Olympic Games - Basketball
09.07.16	Croatia - Italy	84:78 OT (70:70)
05.07.16	Italy - Croatia	67:60
EuroBasket
14.09.13	Croatia - Italy	74:68
Friendly International Basketball
09.06.13	Croatia - Italy	66:64

Italy - Croatia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide