Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 24

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: IKH Areena (Kauhajoki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Kauhajoen Karhu		Salon Vilpas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.22	1.6
	2.36	1.59
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.29	1.59
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.01)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauhajoen Karhu
40.9%

Salon Vilpas
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauhajoen Karhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Salon Vilpas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauhajoen Karhu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salon Vilpas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas Predictions

Users Predictions: Kauhajoen Karhu will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kauhajoen Karhu will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Berry T.	0. Almonor A.
0. Holifield J.	5. Brooks J.
14. Kanden O. (C)	24. Forrest J.
7. Luukkonen E.	1. Suokas T.
4. Nweke I.	20. Vaara M.
Substitutes
8. Ahonen A.	12. Adler S.
25. Koivunen K.	22. Innamaa E. (C)
35. Laavainen A.	14. Lindberg S.
	21. Onyema Z.
	28. Rantapaju D.
	11. Ronnholm T.
Coaches
. Koskimies J.	. Savolainen J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 3.

Kauhajoen Karhu is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Salon Vilpas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kauhajoen Karhu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kauhajoen Karhu will win today's game, with odds of 2.08.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kauhajoen Karhu won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1638:1593. (average 81.9:79.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauhajoen Karhu won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 861:799. (average 86.1:79.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Salon Vilpas	2	1	1	201:186	2
10	Karhu Basket	3	1	2	227:231	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauhajoen Karhu
Finnish Korisliiga
30.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Kauhajoen Karhu	81:88 ✺
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74 ✺
21.01.26	Joensuun Kataja - Kauhajoen Karhu	76:62 ✺
14.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	97:90 OT ✺
10.01.26	Kouvot Kouvola - Kauhajoen Karhu	75:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW
- Salon Vilpas
Finnish Korisliiga
31.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	73:83 ✺
24.01.26	Salon Vilpas - Pyrinto Tampere	119:66 ✺
20.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas	84:81 ✺
14.01.26	Salon Vilpas - Joensuun Kataja	89:92 ✺
10.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	104:98 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
20.12.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas	79:74
18.10.25	Salon Vilpas - Kauhajoen Karhu	116:75
19.03.25	Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas	85:83
12.02.25	Salon Vilpas - Kauhajoen Karhu	80:73
21.12.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas	75:71
02.11.24	Salon Vilpas - Kauhajoen Karhu	60:76
13.04.24	Kauhajoen Karhu - Salon Vilpas	92:89 OT

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