Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 1

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Modigliani Forum (Livorno)


	Libertas Livorno		Pistoia Basket

	1	2
	1.25	3.7
	1.22	3.75
	1.2	3.75
	1.23	3.99
	1.23	3.72	Watch
	1.23	3.8
	1.23	3.74	Watch
	1.21	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.1)	3.83 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertas Livorno
75.8%

Pistoia Basket
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertas Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertas Livorno's form might have worsened.

Pistoia Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoia Basket's recent form is better than expected.

Libertas Livorno - Pistoia Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Graves J.	33. Ajayi J.
24. Penna L.	3. Bettiol L.
14. Piccoli M.	10. Mouaha A.
11. Tozzi L.	8. Schina M.
53. Vildera G.	5. Walker C.
Substitutes
25. Cournooh D.
75. Filoni N.
1. Gaeta F.
33. Possamai L.
23. Sakine E. Y.
5. Tiby M.
7. Valentini F.

Preview

In this matchup, Libertas Livorno is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Libertas Livorno has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 150:137 (averaging 75:68.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Libertas Livorno against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 60:68 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Libertas Livorno	2	2	0	151:111	4
14	Pistoia	2	0	2	139:147	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
03.05.26	Rimini - Libertas Livorno	95:90 ✺
29.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Urania Milano	102:84 ✺
26.04.26	Libertas Livorno - Basket Pesaro	84:75 ✺
18.04.26	Mestre - Libertas Livorno	82:90 ✺
12.04.26	Forlì - Libertas Livorno	91:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL
- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
13.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	78:80 ✺
10.05.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	81:88 OT ✺
08.05.26	Pistoia Basket - Ruvo di Puglia	79:78 ✺
05.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	90:97 ✺
03.05.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Pistoia Basket	100:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
25.03.26	Libertas Livorno - Pistoia Basket	60:68
08.10.25	Pistoia Basket - Libertas Livorno	69:90

Libertas Livorno - Pistoia Basket: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide