Match Info
WNBADate: 11 August 2026, TuesdayLocation: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, CA)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Canada | fubo Sports Network |
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Los Angeles Sparks |
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Phoenix Mercury |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.76 |
|
2.01 |
 Watch |
 |
1.80 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.72 |
|
2.08 |
|
 |
1.86 |
|
2.11 |
|
 |
1.78 |
|
1.99 |
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 |
1.79 |
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2.02 |
Watch |
 |
1.79 |
|
2.08 |
|
 |
1.74 |
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2.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.98) |
|
2.06 ↑
(1.79) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Los Angeles Sparks
53.6% | Phoenix Mercury
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Sparks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Sparks's performance.Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Phoenix Mercury might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Sparks than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles Sparks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Phoenix Mercury could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury Predictions
Users Predictions:
Los Angeles Sparks will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:89 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
7.  Atkins A.
| 24.  Bonner D.
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12. Burrell R.
| 1.  Brochant N.
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5. Hamby D.
| 2. Copper K.
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30.  Ogwumike N.
| 25. Thomas A.
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17. Wheeler E.
| 33.  Whitcomb S.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Roberts L.
| . Tibbetts N.
|
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 3.Los Angeles has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Phoenix's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Phoenix has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1709:1688. (average 85.5:84.4).Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 767:734. (average 85.2:81.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| WNBA | | | 22.07.26 | Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury | 82:86 | | 13.06.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks | 102:111 OT | | 21.05.26 | Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks | 88:97 | | 09.09.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks | 83:87 | | 26.08.25 | Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury | 84:92 | | 01.06.25 | Los Angeles Sparks - Phoenix Mercury | 80:85 | | 21.05.25 | Phoenix Mercury - Los Angeles Sparks | 89:86 |
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